D-backs at Astros

Scoreboard

AZ4–HOU3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · AZ 75-68 · HOU 73-70

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
AZ	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	4	8	0
HOU	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	0

Last play · Jose Altuve strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros0%

AZ 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

AZ 1 – 3 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-113 / -106

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ketel Marte homers (22) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 8) — -28% D-backs

Scoring plays

AZ–HOU · 6 total

10Gabriel Moreno singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Ildemaro Vargas scores.4–3

8Ketel Marte homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.3–3

7Lars Nootbaar doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Tim Tawa scores. Ryan Waldschmidt to 3rd.2–3

5Isaac Paredes singles on a fly ball to second baseman Ketel Marte, deflected by center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Jeremy Peña scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd.1–3

5Geraldo Perdomo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Tim Tawa scores.1–2

3Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Yainer Diaz scores. Taylor Trammell scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.