White Sox at Astros
Last play · Randal Grichuk strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
CWS 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 2 – 6 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -157
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Astros favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Isaac Paredes scores. (inning 1) — +17% Astros
3Christian Walker singles on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Daulton Varsho scores.2–6
3Daulton Varsho triples (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes scores.2–5
3Isaac Paredes doubles (24) on a fly ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd.2–3
2Sam Antonacci singles on a ground ball to left fielder LaMonte Wade Jr. Tristan Peters scores. Jake Rogers to 3rd.2–2
2Jake Rogers singles on a ground ball to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Colson Montgomery scores. Tristan Peters to 2nd.1–2
1Jose Altuve homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Isaac Paredes scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































