Royals at Astros
KC––
HOU–Us vs the market
book · exchangeShown for reference only. Our side model measures at a coin flip (Brier 0.253 vs 0.250), so a gap here is not an edge — it is three independent guesses, and the two market numbers are the better-informed ones. Before first pitch the first column is the league-average home win rate, not a projection for this matchup — the per-game simulation runs once the game starts.
Exchange prices are public market data from Kalshi; book lines are from the sportsbook via ESPN. Prices only — Gridpex does not accept, place, or route wagers.
- Easton McGee8d rest
- Alex Lange4d rest
- Craig Kimbrel3d rest · 13p/3d
- Anthony Gose3d rest · 13p/3d
- Jose Cuas3d rest · 20p/3d
- Steven Cruz1d rest · 10p/3d
- Nolan Hoffman1d rest · 11p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
- Steven Okert12d rest
- Kai-Wei Teng7d rest
- Miguel Ullola6d rest
- Enyel De Los Santos3d rest · 7p/3d
- AJ Blubaugh3d rest · 15p/3d
- Tatsuya Imai3d rest · 43p/3d
- Josh Hader2d rest · 8p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.