D-backs at Astros

Scoreboard

AZ3–HOU2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · AZ 76-68 · HOU 73-71

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
AZ	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	0
HOU	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	7	0

Last play · Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros0%

AZ 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

AZ 3 – 1 HOU

D-backs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 50.3% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+101 / -121

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field. Ketel Marte scores. (inning 3) — -26% D-backs

Scoring plays

AZ–HOU · 4 total

8LaMonte Wade Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Jose Altuve scores. Christian Walker to 2nd.3–2

3Nolan Arenado homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field. Ketel Marte scores.3–1

2James McCann out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nelson Velázquez. Corbin Carroll scores.1–1

1Yordan Alvarez homers (38) on a fly ball to right field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.