Marlins at Royals

Scoreboard

MIA6–KC3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · MIA 70-69 · KC 62-77

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	6	8	1
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	6	0

Last play · Isaac Collins flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.

Win probability

Royals0%

MIA 100%KC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 3 – 0 KC

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

10

opened 9.5 ↑

fair over 50% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-114 / -105

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Graham Pauley homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Owen Caissie scores. (inning 2) — -24% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–KC · 7 total

9Nick Loftin homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.6–3

8Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Isaac Collins scores. Carter Jensen to 3rd.6–2

8Carter Jensen doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Josh Rojas scores. Isaac Collins to 3rd.6–1

7Javier Sanoja singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Graham Pauley scores.6–0

7Graham Pauley triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Otto Lopez scores. Joe Mack scores.5–0

5Kyle Stowers homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.3–0

2Graham Pauley homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Owen Caissie scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.