Marlins at Royals

Scoreboard

MIA3–KC7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · MIA 71-70 · KC 63-78

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	0
KC	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	3	·	7	11	0

Last play · Graham Pauley lines out to right fielder Tyler Tolbert.

Win probability

Royals100%

MIA 0%KC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 3 – 4 KC

Royals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 52% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+104 / -125

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Carter Jensen homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Isbel scores. (inning 5) — +30% Royals

Scoring plays

MIA–KC · 8 total

8Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Griffin Conine. Tyler Tolbert scores.3–7

8Salvador Perez doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Jac Caglianone scores.3–6

8Jac Caglianone singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Carter Jensen scores.3–5

5Carter Jensen homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Isbel scores.3–4

4Agustín Ramírez homers (3) on a line drive to center field.3–2

3Jac Caglianone doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Griffin Conine. Carter Jensen scores.2–2

3Carter Jensen triples (2) on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Kyle Isbel scores.2–1

2Joe Mack singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Jakob Marsee scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.