Braves at Angels
Last play · Mike Yastrzemski flies out to center fielder Bryce Teodosio.
Win probability
Angels100%
ATL 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 6 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Neto homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 1) — +17% Angels
9Mauricio Dubón homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–6
5Jo Adell homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jorge Soler scores.1–6
4Bryce Teodosio singles on a ground ball to shortstop Mauricio Dubón. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Oswald Peraza to 3rd. Yoán Moncada to 2nd.1–4
4Yoán Moncada hit by pitch. Jeimer Candelario scores. Logan O'Hoppe to 3rd. Oswald Peraza to 2nd.1–3
4Logan O'Hoppe walks. Jorge Soler scores. Jo Adell to 3rd. Jeimer Candelario to 2nd.1–2
1Zach Neto homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1Drake Baldwin homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































