Braves at Angels
ATL7–
LAA2Last play · Nolan Schanuel grounds into a double play, pitcher Raisel Iglesias to shortstop Mauricio Dubón to first baseman Matt Olson. Mike Trout out at 2nd. Nolan Schanuel out at 1st.
Win probability
Angels0%
ATL 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 4 – 2 LAA
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Soler homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Mike Trout scores. (inning 1) — +17% Angels
9Matt Olson grounds into a double play, third baseman Yoán Moncada to first baseman Nolan Schanuel. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Drake Baldwin out at 3rd. Ozzie Albies to 2nd. Matt Olson out at 1st.7–2
9Drake Baldwin singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.6–2
8Ozzie Albies homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.5–2
4Jonah Heim singles on a fly ball to left fielder Josh Lowe. Mauricio Dubón scores.4–2
4Eli White out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mike Trout. Austin Riley scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd.3–2
4Austin Riley singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Matt Olson scores.2–2
2Eli White doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Josh Lowe. Matt Olson scores.1–2
1Jorge Soler homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Mike Trout scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.