Braves at Angels
Last play · Oswald Peraza lines out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
Win probability
Angels0%
ATL 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 7 – 2 LAA
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Angels favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (3) on a line drive to center field. Drake Baldwin scores. (inning 3) — -26% Braves
6Drake Baldwin singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Michael Harris II scores.8–2
5Mauricio Dubón doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Josh Lowe. Ozzie Albies scores. Austin Riley scores.7–2
3Mauricio Dubón reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Zach Neto. Austin Riley scores. Mauricio Dubón to 2nd.5–2
3Matt Olson homers (3) on a line drive to center field. Drake Baldwin scores.4–2
2Logan O'Hoppe challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Logan O'Hoppe walks. Yoán Moncada scores. Jo Adell to 3rd. Josh Lowe to 2nd.2–2
2Jorge Soler homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
2Jonah Heim hits a ground-rule double (1) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Austin Riley scores.2–0
1Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mike Trout. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































