Cardinals at Dodgers
STL13–
LAD8Last play · Teoscar Hernández strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
STL 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 10 – 4 LAD
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+246 / -311
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Urías homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 2) — -15% Cardinals
9Tommy Edman singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Will Smith scores.13–8
9Kyle Tucker out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Victor Scott II. Mookie Betts scores.13–7
9Will Smith grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman José Fermín. Enrique Hernández scores. Mookie Betts to 3rd. Hunter Feduccia out at 2nd. Will Smith to 1st.13–6
8José Fermín out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Nathan Church scores.13–5
7Will Smith doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Joshua Báez. Shohei Ohtani scores. Mookie Betts to 3rd.11–5
7Joshua Báez homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.11–4
5Mookie Betts doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Joshua Báez. Alex Freeland scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd.10–4
5Thomas Saggese homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.10–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.