Nationals at Dodgers
Last play · Andrés Chaparro flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
WSH 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 4 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+154 / -188
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Teoscar Hernández doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Enrique Hernández scores. Mookie Betts scores. (inning 3) — +17% Dodgers
9James Wood doubles (28) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. José Tena scores.3–5
9Jorbit Vivas grounds out, second baseman Alex Freeland to first baseman Enrique Hernández. Abimelec Ortiz scores. José Tena to 2nd.2–5
9Abimelec Ortiz singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Tommy Edman. Brady House scores.1–5
6Kyle Tucker homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.0–5
4Tommy Edman reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Nasim Nuñez. Alex Call scores.0–4
3Teoscar Hernández doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Enrique Hernández scores. Mookie Betts scores.0–3
3Mookie Betts singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Kyle Tucker scores. Enrique Hernández to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































