Nationals at Dodgers
Last play · CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
WSH 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 2 LAD
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+159 / -194
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tommy Edman homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Alex Freeland scores. Enrique Hernández scores. (inning 7) — +60% Dodgers
9Daylen Lile reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Mookie Betts. James Wood scores.5–6
8Alex Call hit by pitch. Mookie Betts scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd. Alex Freeland to 2nd.4–6
7Tommy Edman homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Alex Freeland scores. Enrique Hernández scores.4–5
7Daylen Lile doubles (27) on a line drive to left fielder Alex Call. Dylan Crews scores.4–2
4Dylan Crews doubles (16) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Call. Keibert Ruiz scores.3–2
4Keibert Ruiz singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Brady House scores. Keibert Ruiz to 2nd.2–2
2José Tena out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tommy Edman. CJ Abrams scores.1–2
1Hunter Feduccia singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Kyle Tucker scores. Teoscar Hernández to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































