Cubs at Marlins

Scoreboard

CHC6–MIA1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

loanDepot park · CHC 80-62 · MIA 71-71

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	1	6	9	0
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	0

Last play · Esteury Ruiz strikes out on a foul tip.

Win probability

Marlins0%

CHC 100%MIA 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 1 – 0 MIA

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-161 / +133

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Marlins favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Pedro Ramírez grounds into a force out, first baseman Deyvison De Los Santos to shortstop Otto Lopez. Ian Happ scores. Nico Hoerner out at 2nd. Pedro Ramírez to 1st. (inning 2) — -15% Cubs

Scoring plays

CHC–MIA · 7 total

9Michael Busch homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.6–1

7Esteury Ruiz grounds out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch. Griffin Conine scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.5–1

7Michael Busch strikes out swinging.5–0

6Pedro Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Esteury Ruiz. Alex Bregman scores.4–0

6Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Michael Busch scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Ian Happ to 2nd.3–0

6Ian Happ walks. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Michael Busch to 3rd. Alex Bregman to 2nd.2–0

2Pedro Ramírez grounds into a force out, first baseman Deyvison De Los Santos to shortstop Otto Lopez. Ian Happ scores. Nico Hoerner out at 2nd. Pedro Ramírez to 1st.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.