Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Seiya Suzuki lines out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CHC 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 1 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Shaw. Garrett Mitchell scores. Joey Ortiz scores. (inning 8) — +61% Brewers
9Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (41) on a line drive to right center field.3–4
8Christian Yelich out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Shaw. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.2–4
8Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Shaw. Garrett Mitchell scores. Joey Ortiz scores.2–3
7Alex Bregman singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.2–1
5Garrett Mitchell singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Luis Lara scores.1–1
5Pedro Ramírez homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































