Rangers at Brewers
Last play · Christian Yelich strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers0%
TEX 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 2 MIL
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+143 / -154
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ezequiel Duran hits a ground-rule double (26) on a line drive to left-center field. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford scores. (inning 5) — -27% Rangers
7Gary Sánchez homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores.7–4
7Cody Freeman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Ezequiel Duran scores. Jake Burger to 3rd.7–2
7Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to shortstop Joey Ortiz. Brandon Nimmo scores. Ezequiel Duran to 2nd.6–2
6Joc Pederson homers (24) on a fly ball to right field.5–2
5Ezequiel Duran hits a ground-rule double (26) on a line drive to left-center field. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford scores.4–2
3Ezequiel Duran homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
2Elias Díaz hits a ground-rule double (10) on a fly ball to left-center field. Cody Freeman scores.1–2
1Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Garrett Mitchell scores. Jake Bauers to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































