Rays at Twins
Last play · Junior Caminero lines out to center fielder James Outman.
Win probability
Twins100%
TB 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 3 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Bell singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. James Outman scores. Luke Keaschall to 2nd. (inning 7) — +22% Twins
8Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to center fielder James Outman. Nick Fortes scores.4–10
7Tristan Gray hits a grand slam (1) to right field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Austin Martin scores. Royce Lewis scores.3–10
7Royce Lewis walks. Josh Bell scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd. Austin Martin to 2nd.3–6
7Trevor Larnach walks. Luke Keaschall scores. Josh Bell to 3rd. Ryan Jeffers to 2nd.3–5
7Josh Bell singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. James Outman scores. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.3–4
4Tristan Gray out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jake Fraley. Ryan Jeffers scores. Trevor Larnach to 3rd.3–3
4Royce Lewis reaches on a fielder's choice. Josh Bell scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd. Trevor Larnach to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Carson Williams.3–2
4Josh Bell doubles (3) on a fly ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Luke Keaschall scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































