Rays at Twins
Last play · Josh Bell lines out to right fielder Jake Fraley.
Win probability
Twins0%
TB 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 1 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-108 / -112
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Richie Palacios homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Ben Williamson scores. (inning 10) — -46% Rays
10Junior Caminero walks. Yandy Díaz scores. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd. Chandler Simpson to 2nd.4–1
10Richie Palacios homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Ben Williamson scores.3–1
4Junior Caminero homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
2Matt Wallner homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































