Tigers at Twins
Last play · Gleyber Torres grounds out, first baseman Kody Clemens to pitcher Cody Laweryson.
Win probability
Twins100%
DET 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 5 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+104 / -126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach McKinstry singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Gleyber Torres scores. Colt Keith scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd. Zach McKinstry to 2nd. (inning 4) — -25% Tigers
8Victor Caratini singles on a line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Byron Buxton scores. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.3–7
4Luke Keaschall homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Trevor Larnach scores.3–5
4Zach McKinstry singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Gleyber Torres scores. Colt Keith scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd. Zach McKinstry to 2nd.3–3
4Colt Keith doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Kevin McGonigle scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd.1–3
3Royce Lewis singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Matt Vierling. Luke Keaschall scores. Matt Wallner to 2nd.0–3
3Matt Wallner singles on a line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Trevor Larnach scores. Luke Keaschall to 3rd.0–2
3Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Parker Meadows. Byron Buxton scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































