Tigers at Twins
Last play · Dillon Dingler grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Victor Caratini.
Win probability
Twins100%
DET 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 4 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-171 / +141
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Jeffers doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall scores. (inning 5) — +18% Twins
9Kevin McGonigle doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Javier Báez scores.2–4
7Kevin McGonigle singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Spencer Torkelson scores. Parker Meadows to 2nd.1–4
5Josh Bell doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Ryan Jeffers scores.0–4
5Ryan Jeffers doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall scores.0–3
5Luke Keaschall singles on a line drive to center fielder Parker Meadows. Byron Buxton scores. Austin Martin to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































