Tigers at Twins
Last play · Zach McKinstry lines out to second baseman Luke Keaschall.
Win probability
Twins100%
DET 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 7 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-156 / +129
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Jeffers grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Colt Keith. Austin Martin scores. (inning 1) — +17% Twins
7Parker Meadows called out on strikes.6–8
7Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to second baseman Luke Keaschall. Gleyber Torres scores.5–8
7Gleyber Torres doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Javier Báez scores. Kevin McGonigle scores.4–8
6Ryan Jeffers walks.2–8
6Dillon Dingler singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Gleyber Torres scores. Kerry Carpenter to 2nd.2–7
6Kerry Carpenter singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Colt Keith scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd.1–7
4Luke Keaschall singles on a line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Byron Buxton scores.0–7
1Royce Lewis singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. Josh Bell scores. Matt Wallner scores.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































