D-backs at Mets
Last play · Ronny Mauricio singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Francisco Lindor scores.
Win probability
Mets100%
AZ 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 3 – 2 NYM
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+129 / -156
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mets favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jared Young out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Tyrone Taylor scores. (inning 8) — +32% Mets
10Ronny Mauricio singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Francisco Lindor scores.3–4
8Jared Young out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–3
5Nolan Arenado doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Gabriel Moreno scores. Adrian Del Castillo to 3rd.3–2
5Adrian Del Castillo singles on a line drive to right fielder Brett Baty. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd.2–2
2Francisco Lindor doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Francisco Alvarez scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd. Throwing error by right fielder Corbin Carroll.0–2
1Brett Baty out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Alek Thomas. Francisco Lindor scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































