Athletics at Yankees
Last play · Nick Kurtz flies out sharply to right fielder Aaron Judge.
Win probability
Yankees100%
ATH 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 3 – 1 NYY
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+218 / -271
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Yankees favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Amed Rosario homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Ben Rice scores. Randal Grichuk scores. (inning 8) — +66% Yankees
8Amed Rosario homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Ben Rice scores. Randal Grichuk scores.3–5
8Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Cody Bellinger scores. Ben Rice to 2nd.3–2
3Tyler Soderstrom doubles (3) to right field, on fan interference. Nick Kurtz scores.3–1
3Nick Kurtz doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Max Muncy scores. Jeff McNeil scores.2–1
2Amed Rosario homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































