Rockies at Yankees
Last play · Zac Veen strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
COL 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+243 / -306
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis García Jr. homers (30) on a fly ball to center field. Ben Rice scores. (inning 1) — +17% Yankees
8Adael Amador singles on a line drive to center fielder Spencer Jones, deflected by right fielder Jasson Domínguez. Zac Veen scores. Adael Amador to 2nd. Adael Amador advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Jasson Domínguez.3–10
7Anthony Volpe hits a grand slam (2) to right field. Spencer Jones scores. Ryan McMahon scores. Austin Wells scores.2–10
7Spencer Jones singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Cody Bellinger scores. Jasson Domínguez scores. Spencer Jones to 2nd.2–6
7Jake McCarthy triples (9) on a fly ball to right fielder Jasson Domínguez. Ezequiel Tovar scores.2–4
2Cody Bellinger out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Austin Wells scores.1–4
2Anthony Volpe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Ryan McMahon scores. Austin Wells to 2nd.1–3
2Kyle Karros homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
1Luis García Jr. homers (30) on a fly ball to center field. Ben Rice scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































