Rockies at Yankees
Last play · Brett Sullivan grounds out, first baseman Luis García Jr. to pitcher Michael Fulmer.
Win probability
Yankees100%
COL 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9 ↑
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+207 / -257
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Lombard Jr. hits a grand slam (3) to right field. Aaron Judge scores. Luis García Jr. scores. Spencer Jones scores. (inning 3) — +26% Yankees
8Cody Bellinger homers (13) on a line drive to right field.1–6
5Connor Norby homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
3George Lombard Jr. hits a grand slam (3) to right field. Aaron Judge scores. Luis García Jr. scores. Spencer Jones scores.0–5
2Luis García Jr. homers (29) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































