Mets at Giants
NYM9–
SF0Last play · Matt Chapman flies out to right fielder Brett Baty.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYM 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 8 – 0 SF
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+107 / -129
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carson Benge reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Matt Chapman. Mark Vientos scores. Jared Young scores. Marcus Semien to 3rd. Fielding error by first baseman Jerar Encarnacion. (inning 2) — -24% Mets
7Tyrone Taylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Brett Baty scores. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd. Tyrone Taylor advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.9–0
5Tyrone Taylor homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Brett Baty scores. Mark Vientos scores.8–0
5Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Bo Bichette scores. Brett Baty to 3rd.5–0
5Bo Bichette singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Luis Torrens scores.4–0
2Luis Torrens grounds out, second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Jerar Encarnacion. Marcus Semien scores. Carson Benge to 2nd.3–0
2Carson Benge reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Matt Chapman. Mark Vientos scores. Jared Young scores. Marcus Semien to 3rd. Fielding error by first baseman Jerar Encarnacion.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.