Phillies at Giants
Last play · Dylan Moore flies out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
Win probability
Giants100%
PHI 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Otto Kemp. Daniel Susac scores. (inning 5) — +10% Giants
8Daniel Susac triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Heliot Ramos scores. Casey Schmitt scores.0–6
6Jung Hoo Lee out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Justin Crawford. Rafael Devers scores. Casey Schmitt to 3rd.0–4
5Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Matt Chapman scores.0–3
5Matt Chapman doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Otto Kemp. Daniel Susac scores.0–2
1Luis Arraez grounds out softly, pitcher Cristopher Sánchez to first baseman Bryce Harper. Willy Adames scores. Matt Chapman to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































