Phillies at Giants
Last play · Otto Kemp strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants100%
PHI 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 0 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Giants favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Willy Adames scores. Luis Arraez scores. (inning 6) — +36% Giants
8Rafael Devers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Luis Arraez scores.0–5
8Luis Arraez hits a sacrifice bunt. Throwing error by pitcher José Alvarado. Willy Adames scores. Luis Arraez to 2nd.0–4
6Rafael Devers homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Willy Adames scores. Luis Arraez scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































