Cardinals at Giants
Last play · Shay Whitcomb singles on a ground ball to shortstop Thomas Saggese. Nate Furman scores.
Win probability
Giants100%
STL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Eldridge singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Turner Hill scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd. (inning 10) — +42% Giants
11Shay Whitcomb singles on a ground ball to shortstop Thomas Saggese. Nate Furman scores.4–5
10Bryce Eldridge singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Turner Hill scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.4–4
10Leo Bernal singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Alec Burleson scores.4–3
9José Fermín out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Turner Hill. Joshua Báez scores.3–3
7Nathan Church doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Nolan Gorman scores.2–3
6Alec Burleson homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
5Bryce Eldridge doubles (21) on a fly ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Rafael Devers scores.0–3
3Bryce Eldridge out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nathan Church. Christian Koss scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































