Cardinals at Giants
Last play · Iván Herrera grounds out, shortstop Christian Koss to first baseman Rafael Devers.
Win probability
Giants100%
STL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 2 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-123 / +102
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Giants favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Koss homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — +10% Giants
9Bryan Torres singles on a ground ball to right fielder Grant McCray. Nathan Church scores.1–2
2Christian Koss homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
1Bryce Eldridge homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































