Athletics at Mariners
Last play · Weston Wilson grounds out, third baseman Zack Gelof to first baseman Jeff McNeil.
Win probability
Mariners0%
ATH 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 4 – 0 SEA
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+177 / -217
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Mariners favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Muncy homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 2) — -15% Athletics
9Cole Young walks.6–2
8Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Cole Young scores. Randy Arozarena to 2nd.6–1
8Lawrence Butler homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Zack Gelof scores.6–0
4Donovan Walton doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Max Muncy scores.4–0
4Max Muncy singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Zack Gelof scores.3–0
3Henry Bolte doubles (13) on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Alika Williams scores.2–0
2Max Muncy homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































