Pirates at Cardinals

Scoreboard

PIT5–STL4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Busch Stadium · PIT 67-71 · STL 68-70

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	5	8	0
STL	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	4	9	1

Last play · Alec Burleson grounds out sharply, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.

Win probability

Cardinals0%

PIT 100%STL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 4 – 2 STL

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-119 / +111

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Esmerlyn Valdez homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Lowe scores. (inning 2) — -24% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–STL · 8 total

7Iván Herrera doubles (24) on a fly ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Thomas Saggese scores.5–4

7Bryan Torres out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Mangum. Ramón Urías scores.5–3

7Brandon Lowe singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Torres. Oneil Cruz scores. Rafael Flores Jr. to 2nd.5–2

5Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Bryan Torres scores. Iván Herrera to 2nd.4–2

5Iván Herrera singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Thomas Saggese scores. Bryan Torres to 2nd.4–1

5Jared Triolo homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.4–0

3Brandon Lowe reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Ramón Urías. Oneil Cruz scores.3–0

2Esmerlyn Valdez homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Lowe scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.