Cubs at Rays

Scoreboard

CHC4–TB6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · CHC 4-6 · TB 5-5

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	4	1
TB	0	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	·	6	9	0

Last play · Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Rays100%

CHC 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 2 – 4 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+104 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Cedric Mullins homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Chandler Simpson scores. (inning 2) — +26% Rays

Scoring plays

CHC–TB · 7 total

9Matt Shaw homers (2) on a line drive to left field.4–6

7Jonathan Aranda homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Ben Williamson scores.3–6

6Michael Busch out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Ian Happ scores.3–4

3Junior Caminero homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–4

2Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Taylor Walls scores. Yandy Díaz to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Dansby Swanson.2–3

2Cedric Mullins homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Chandler Simpson scores.2–2

2Nico Hoerner singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Michael Busch scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Miguel Amaya to 2nd.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.