Mariners at Rangers
Last play · Josh Naylor grounds into a double play, first baseman Jake Burger to shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Jake Burger. Julio Rodríguez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor out at 1st.
Win probability
Rangers100%
SEA 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 1 TEX
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 48% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-118 / -102
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rangers favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Burger doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Corey Seager scores. (inning 6) — +19% Rangers
6Jake Burger doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Corey Seager scores.1–2
1Corey Seager singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Wyatt Langford scores.1–1
1Cal Raleigh homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































