Dodgers at Blue Jays
Last play · Tyler Heineman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
LAD 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 0 TOR
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-156 / +129
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shohei Ohtani singles on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Hyeseong Kim scores. Alex Freeland to 3rd. (inning 3) — -14% Dodgers
9Kyle Tucker singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Alex Freeland scores. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd.4–1
6George Springer doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Andrés Giménez scores.3–1
5Alex Freeland singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Hyeseong Kim scores.3–0
3Will Smith grounds into a force out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to second baseman Ernie Clement. Alex Freeland scores. Shohei Ohtani out at 2nd. Will Smith to 1st.2–0
3Shohei Ohtani singles on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Hyeseong Kim scores. Alex Freeland to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































