Dodgers at Nationals
Last play · Nasim Nuñez flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
Win probability
Nationals0%
LAD 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 11 – 4 WSH
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-293 / +234
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shohei Ohtani homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Teoscar Hernández scores. Andy Pages scores. (inning 3) — -29% Dodgers
9Shohei Ohtani out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Alex Call scores. Andy Pages to 3rd.13–6
8Jacob Young grounds out, third baseman Max Muncy to first baseman Santiago Espinal. Jorbit Vivas scores.12–6
8Keibert Ruiz doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Nasim Nuñez scores. Jorbit Vivas to 3rd.12–5
7Kyle Tucker homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.12–4
5Kyle Tucker singles on a ground ball to right fielder James Wood. Teoscar Hernández scores. Andy Pages to 3rd. Alex Freeland to 2nd.11–4
5Teoscar Hernández doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Max Muncy scores.10–4
5Freddie Freeman homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Mookie Betts scores.9–4
4Andy Pages homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Teoscar Hernández scores.7–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































