Cardinals at Nationals
Last play · Masyn Winn grounds out, pitcher Cionel Pérez to shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Curtis Mead.
Win probability
Nationals100%
STL 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · James Wood homers (3) on a line drive to center field. Drew Millas scores. Joey Wiemer scores. (inning 8) — +54% Nationals
8CJ Abrams homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.6–9
8Brady House homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Curtis Mead scores.6–8
8James Wood homers (3) on a line drive to center field. Drew Millas scores. Joey Wiemer scores.6–6
8Victor Scott II out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Andre Granillo to first baseman Curtis Mead. Ramón Urías scores. Thomas Saggese to 2nd.6–3
8Ramón Urías doubles (2) on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Masyn Winn scores.5–3
8Jordan Walker homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
6Jacob Young doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Thomas Saggese. José Tena scores. Drew Millas to 3rd.3–3
6Ramón Urías homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Nolan Gorman scores.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































