Cardinals at Nationals
Last play · Nasim Nuñez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals0%
STL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 4 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 52.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-102 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathan Church homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 8) — -34% Cardinals
10Nasim Nuñez strikes out swinging.7–6
10JJ Wetherholt doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Joey Wiemer. Thomas Saggese scores.7–5
10Thomas Saggese doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Masyn Winn scores.6–5
8Nathan Church homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.5–5
7Jordan Walker homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.3–5
6Curtis Mead singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. James Wood scores.2–5
5CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Daylen Lile scores. Joey Wiemer to 3rd.2–4
5Curtis Mead homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
































