Grambling vs. East Texas A&M: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Grambling0-1
▸
East Texas A&M0-1
Final/OT
Memorial Stadium (Commerce TX)
GRAMTeam statsEAST
247Total yards419
130Pass152
117Rush267
13First downs19
3-143rd down5-17
3Turnovers6
25:45Possession34:15
- OT 0:00GRAMTre Bradford 3 Yd Run (Reed Harradine Kick)35–28
- Q4 1:18GRAMNicholas Howard 27 Yd pass from Myles Crawley (Reed Harradine Kick)28–28
- Q3 8:56EASTBraxton Garmon 3 Yd Run (Luke Jackson Kick)21–28
- Q2 4:17GRAMTre Bradford 41 Yd Run (Reed Harradine Kick)21–21
- Q2 4:41EASTJaiSean McMillian 5 Yd Run (Luke Jackson Kick)14–21
- Q2 7:27EASTBK Jackson 9 Yd Run (Luke Jackson Kick)14–14
- Q2 12:56GRAMJacoby Bellazar 10 Yd pass from Myles Crawley (Myles Crawley Pass to Jacoby Bellazar for Two-Point Conversion)14–7
- Q1 6:02EASTBK Jackson 69 Yd Run (Luke Jackson Kick)6–7
- Q1 6:43GRAMBlake Davis 35 Yd Fumble Return (Reed Harradine PAT blocked)6–0
How the model called it
Market line
EAST −3.5
Against the number
GRAM covered
line EAST −3.5
What the numbers say
- GRAM played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and EAST did not face the same ones. 3rd & 10.1 vs 3rd & 7.3
Kickoff161 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
EAST (top)GRAM (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: EAST 0%
Closing line
EAST −3.5
Closing total
51.5
Model line
—
Actual result
GRAM 35 – 28 EAST
Grambling
- PassMyles Crawley 14/30, 125 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
- RushTre Bradford 15 CAR, 70 YDS, 2 TD
- RecCovadis Knighten 4 REC, 29 YDS
East Texas A&M
- PassRon Peace 14/28, 152 YDS, 4 INT
- RushB.K. Jackson 16 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD
- RecChristian Jourdain 4 REC, 57 YDS
23.5sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
153
Points / snap
0.41
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsEAST up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,296 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
81%
EAST went on to win
A solid but not safe lead
FAQ
What was the final score of Grambling vs. East Texas A&M?
Grambling 35, East Texas A&M 28.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked EAST, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
GRAM
EAST
31%
Success rate
38%
-0.04
EPA / pass
-0.27
-0.22
EPA / rush
0.10
33%
Early-down success
42%
33%
Pass success
36%
29%
Rush success
40%
6%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
6%
26%
Stuffed rush rate
17%
54%
Pass rate
38%
10.1
Avg 3rd-down distance
7.3
GRAM
10.1 yards to go on 3rd down
67 scrimmage snaps
EAST
7.3 yards to go on 3rd down
86 scrimmage snaps
| GRAM | EAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 247 | Total yards | 419 |
| 130 | Passing yards | 152 |
| 117 | Rushing yards | 267 |
| 13 | First downs | 19 |
| 3-14 | 3rd down | 5-17 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 2-5 |
| 15/32 | Comp/Att | 14/28 |
| 4.1 | Yards per pass | 5.4 |
| 3.4 | Yards per rush | 4.9 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 10-66 | Penalties | 6-51 |
| 25:45 | Possession | 34:15 |
GRAM
9/10 with the model
−0.6 pts · −0.0% win prob
EAST
5/9 with the model
−0.6 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q3 6:21 GRAM punt on 4th & 8 at EAST 37. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.58 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishGRAM 3/18 scoring drives← own end zone →EAST 5/19 scoring drives
EASTPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 25Q1
GRAMPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q1
EASTINT1 pl, 0 yds· own 32Q1
GRAMMISS4 pl, 0 yds· opp 23Q1
EASTINT1 pl, 0 yds· own 23Q1
GRAMPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 45Q1
EASTTD3 pl, 9 yds· own 26Q1
EASTTD2 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
GRAMINT3 pl, 4 yds· own 6Q1
EASTDOWNS4 pl, 9 yds· opp 45Q1
GRAMPUNT6 pl, -3 yds· own 36Q1
EASTINT3 pl, 1 yds· own 11Q2
GRAMTD3 pl, 17 yds· opp 17Q2
EASTTD10 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q2
EASTTD3 pl, 45 yds· opp 45Q2
GRAMPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 26Q2
GRAMTD1 pl, 41 yds· opp 41Q2
EASTDOWNS12 pl, 35 yds· own 25Q2
GRAMPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 40Q2
EASTEND1 pl, 8 yds· own 17Q2
GRAMPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q3
EASTFUM2 pl, 13 yds· own 37Q3
GRAMINT2 pl, 0 yds· midfieldQ3
EASTTD7 pl, 44 yds· opp 44Q3
GRAMPUNT5 pl, 13 yds· midfieldQ3
EASTPUNT6 pl, 19 yds· own 7Q3
GRAMFUM10 pl, 59 yds· own 41Q3
EASTPUNT6 pl, 36 yds· own 20Q4
GRAMPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 11Q4
EASTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· midfieldQ4
GRAMPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 4Q4
EASTDOWNS7 pl, 20 yds· opp 45Q4
GRAMTD6 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
EASTPUNT7 pl, 30 yds· own 25Q4
GRAMEND1 pl, -1 yds· own 17Q4
GRAMTD4 pl, 25 yds· opp 25OT
EASTINT1 pl, 0 yds· opp 25OT
- OT 0:00GRAMTre Bradford 3 Yd Run (Reed Harradine Kick)35–28
- Q4 1:18GRAMNicholas Howard 27 Yd pass from Myles Crawley (Reed Harradine Kick)28–28
- Q3 8:56EASTBraxton Garmon 3 Yd Run (Luke Jackson Kick)21–28
- Q2 4:17GRAMTre Bradford 41 Yd Run (Reed Harradine Kick)21–21
- Q2 4:41EASTJaiSean McMillian 5 Yd Run (Luke Jackson Kick)14–21
- Q2 7:27EASTBK Jackson 9 Yd Run (Luke Jackson Kick)14–14
- Q2 12:56GRAMJacoby Bellazar 10 Yd pass from Myles Crawley (Myles Crawley Pass to Jacoby Bellazar for Two-Point Conversion)14–7
- Q1 6:02EASTBK Jackson 69 Yd Run (Luke Jackson Kick)6–7
- Q1 6:43GRAMBlake Davis 35 Yd Fumble Return (Reed Harradine PAT blocked)6–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →