Bryant vs. UNLV: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Bryant

0014

UNLV

▸0044

Final

Allegiant Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
BRYA	0	0	7	7	14
UNLV	17	7	17	3	44

BRYATeam statsUNLV

409Total yards394

230Pass126

179Rush268

19First downs19

4-133rd down9-15

1Turnovers2

39:04Possession20:56

Scoring plays

• Q4 6:39UNLVJose Pizano 35 Yd Field Goal 14–44
• Q4 12:40BRYARyan Clark 1 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman Kick)14–41
• Q3 2:14UNLVJai'Den Thomas 8 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)7–27
• Q3 3:24UNLVDonavyn Lester 2 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)7–34
• Q3 3:52BRYARyan Clark 1 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman Kick)0–-14
• Q3 7:29UNLVJose Pizano 37 Yd Field Goal 0–27
• Q2 0:00UNLVDoug Brumfield 19 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)0–23
• Q1 1:06UNLVJose Pizano 48 Yd Field Goal 0–17
• Q1 8:49UNLVJai'Den Thomas 18 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)0–14
• Q1 14:40UNLVVincent Davis Jr. 69 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

UNLV −16.5

Against the number

UNLV covered

line UNLV −16.5

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

UNLV 100%50%BRYA 100%

Kickoff131 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

UNLV (top)BRYA (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UNLV 100%

How the line closed

model vs market

Closing line

UNLV −16.5

Closing total

66.0

Model line

—

Actual result

BRYA 14 – 44 UNLV

Leaders

Bryant

• PassZevi Eckhaus 19/29, 230 YDS, 1 INT
• RushZevi Eckhaus 9 CAR, 89 YDS
• RecLandon Ruggieri 11 REC, 109 YDS

UNLV

• PassDoug Brumfield 11/18, 86 YDS, 1 INT
• RushVincent Davis Jr. 3 CAR, 79 YDS, 1 TD
• RecJacob De Jesus 4 REC, 50 YDS

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

29sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

116

Points / snap

0.50

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

UNLV up 60 entering the 4th quarter. Across 49 historically comparable game states (within ±3 pts and ±5 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

UNLV went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WOregon vs Portland State81-7WIndiana vs Western Illinois77-3WOle Miss vs Mercer73-7WCoastal Carolina vs Duquesne66-7WArkansas-Pine Bluff vs Little Rock59-0

Fourth downs

13 calls

BRYA gave up 1.0 points to the model on fourth down.BRYA 6/8 · UNLV 3/4 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Bryant vs. UNLV?

Bryant 14, UNLV 44.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (UNLV) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

BRYA

UNLV

44%

Success rate

46%

0.13

EPA / pass

0.32

0.20

EPA / rush

0.16

50%

Early-down success

43%

38%

Pass success

46%

49%

Rush success

47%

10%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

9%

21%

Stuffed rush rate

22%

47%

Pass rate

41%

5.5

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.5

BRYA

5.5 yards to go on 3rd down

62 scrimmage snaps

UNLV

6.5 yards to go on 3rd down

54 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

BRYA		UNLV
409	Total yards	394
230	Passing yards	126
179	Rushing yards	268
19	First downs	19
4-13	3rd down	9-15
1-4	4th down	0-0
19/31	Comp/Att	15/24
7.4	Yards per pass	5.3
4.5	Yards per rush	6.7
1	Turnovers	2
6-59	Penalties	6-45
39:04	Possession	20:56

Fourth downs

13 calls

BRYA

6/8 with the model

−1.0 pts · −0.0% win prob

UNLV

3/4 with the model

−0.1 pts · −0.0% win prob

Costliest call

Q3 12:21 BRYA punt on 4th & 5 at UNLV 39. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.82 points.

Every call, priced (13)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

BRYA 2/11 scoring drives← own end zone →UNLV 7/12 scoring drives

UNLVTD1 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q1

BRYADOWNS6 pl, 26 yds· own 15Q1

UNLVTD7 pl, 41 yds· opp 41Q1

BRYAMISS12 pl, 48 yds· own 17Q1

UNLVFG9 pl, -29 yds· opp 36Q1

BRYAPUNT7 pl, 25 yds· own 23Q1

UNLVPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 20Q2

BRYADOWNS11 pl, 61 yds· own 33Q2

UNLVINT5 pl, 14 yds· own 6Q2

BRYADOWNS4 pl, -20 yds· opp 43Q2

UNLVTD6 pl, 37 yds· opp 37Q2

BRYAPUNT5 pl, 52 yds· own 9Q3

UNLVUncateg3 pl, 8 yds· own 20Q3

BRYAINT3 pl, 23 yds· own 22Q3

UNLVFG7 pl, 35 yds· own 46Q3

BRYATD8 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3

UNLVTD1 pl, 2 yds· opp 2Q3

BRYAPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 21Q3

UNLVTD6 pl, 61 yds· own 39Q3

BRYATD6 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3

UNLVFG14 pl, 60 yds· own 22Q4

BRYAPUNT6 pl, 19 yds· own 14Q4

UNLVFUM6 pl, 26 yds· own 28Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 6:39UNLVJose Pizano 35 Yd Field Goal 14–44
• Q4 12:40BRYARyan Clark 1 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman Kick)14–41
• Q3 2:14UNLVJai'Den Thomas 8 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)7–27
• Q3 3:24UNLVDonavyn Lester 2 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)7–34
• Q3 3:52BRYARyan Clark 1 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman Kick)0–-14
• Q3 7:29UNLVJose Pizano 37 Yd Field Goal 0–27
• Q2 0:00UNLVDoug Brumfield 19 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)0–23
• Q1 1:06UNLVJose Pizano 48 Yd Field Goal 0–17
• Q1 8:49UNLVJai'Den Thomas 18 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)0–14
• Q1 14:40UNLVVincent Davis Jr. 69 Yd Run (Jose Pizano Kick)0–7

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →