Richmond vs. NC State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
RICHTeam statsNCSU
- Q4 1:49NCSUDylan McCoy 51 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–73
- Q4 6:31NCSUKanoah Vinesett 45 Yd Field Goal 0–66
- Q3 4:12NCSUHunter Provience 3 Yd pass from Will Wilson (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–63
- Q3 9:04NCSUWill Wilson 5 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–56
- Q2 0:24NCSUWill Wilson 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–49
- Q2 6:23NCSUPreston Douglas 15 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–42
- Q2 8:30NCSUWill Wilson 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–35
- Q2 11:33NCSUCJ Bailey 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–28
- Q1 1:01NCSUJayden Scott 7 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–21
- Q1 10:44NCSUJayden Scott 65 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–14
- Q1 11:21NCSUDavion Gause 19 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassAshten Snelsire 8/23, 76 YDS, 1 INT
- RushWarrick Stephenson 14 CAR, 58 YDS
- RecMichael Creamer 1 REC, 23 YDS
- PassCJ Bailey 13/17, 281 YDS, 1 TD
- RushJayden Scott 9 CAR, 128 YDS, 2 TD
- RecKeenan Jackson 4 REC, 123 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Richmond vs. NC State?
Richmond 0, NC State 73.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (NCSU) was correct.
| RICH | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 110 | Total yards | 734 |
| 76 | Passing yards | 306 |
| 34 | Rushing yards | 428 |
| 6 | First downs | 31 |
| 2-13 | 3rd down | 8-10 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 8/27 | Comp/Att | 18/24 |
| 2.8 | Yards per pass | 12.8 |
| 1.5 | Yards per rush | 9.5 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 7-34 | Penalties | 4-40 |
| 22:17 | Possession | 37:43 |
- Q4 1:49NCSUDylan McCoy 51 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–73
- Q4 6:31NCSUKanoah Vinesett 45 Yd Field Goal 0–66
- Q3 4:12NCSUHunter Provience 3 Yd pass from Will Wilson (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–63
- Q3 9:04NCSUWill Wilson 5 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–56
- Q2 0:24NCSUWill Wilson 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–49
- Q2 6:23NCSUPreston Douglas 15 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–42
- Q2 8:30NCSUWill Wilson 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–35
- Q2 11:33NCSUCJ Bailey 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–28
- Q1 1:01NCSUJayden Scott 7 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–21
- Q1 10:44NCSUJayden Scott 65 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–14
- Q1 11:21NCSUDavion Gause 19 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects NCSU -32.6 (97% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →