Wisconsin vs. Ohio State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
WISTeam statsOSU
- Q4 2:25OSUCurtis Samuel 1 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–59
- Q4 11:39OSUCurtis Samuel 12 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–52
- Q3 9:24OSUDevin Smith 42 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–45
- Q2 0:36OSUJoey Bosa 4 Yd Fumble Return (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–38
- Q2 6:36OSUEzekiel Elliott 14 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–31
- Q2 11:09OSUDevin Smith 44 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–24
- Q2 14:14OSUSean Nuernberger 23 Yd Field Goal 0–17
- Q1 4:06OSUEzekiel Elliott 81 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–14
- Q1 13:01OSUDevin Smith 39 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassJoel Stave 17/43, 187 YDS, 3 INT
- RushMelvin Gordon III 26 CAR, 76 YDS
- RecAlex Erickson 7 REC, 83 YDS
- PassCardale Jones 12/17, 257 YDS, 3 TD
- RushEzekiel Elliott 20 CAR, 220 YDS, 2 TD
- RecDevin Smith 4 REC, 137 YDS, 3 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsOSU up 45 entering the 4th quarter. Across 103 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 4:06OSU +15%
Ezekiel Elliott 81 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
- Q2 11:09OSU +7%
Devin Smith 44 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
FAQ
What was the final score of Wisconsin vs. Ohio State?
Wisconsin 0, Ohio State 59.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked WIS, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| WIS | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 258 | Total yards | 558 |
| 187 | Passing yards | 257 |
| 71 | Rushing yards | 301 |
| 18 | First downs | 24 |
| 5-18 | 3rd down | 2-8 |
| 3-5 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 17/43 | Comp/Att | 12/18 |
| 4.3 | Yards per pass | 14.3 |
| 1.9 | Yards per rush | 7.9 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 3-23 | Penalties | 5-44 |
| 33:55 | Possession | 26:05 |
Costliest call
Q3 3:09 WIS go for it on 4th & 6 at OSU 33. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.21 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 2:25OSUCurtis Samuel 1 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–59
- Q4 11:39OSUCurtis Samuel 12 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–52
- Q3 9:24OSUDevin Smith 42 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–45
- Q2 0:36OSUJoey Bosa 4 Yd Fumble Return (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–38
- Q2 6:36OSUEzekiel Elliott 14 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–31
- Q2 11:09OSUDevin Smith 44 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–24
- Q2 14:14OSUSean Nuernberger 23 Yd Field Goal 0–17
- Q1 4:06OSUEzekiel Elliott 81 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–14
- Q1 13:01OSUDevin Smith 39 Yd pass from Cardale Jones (Sean Nuernberger Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (OSU Elo 2027, WIS Elo 2045 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects OSU +0.7 (49% to win) — 2.8 points clear of OSU's market line of +3.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2014
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#1 of 94 in 2014 by biggest miss · #80 of 94 in 2014 by longest odds.
The 2014 upset archive →Ohio State leads 64–18–5 · Ohio State has won 11 straight · 40% have been one-possession games
| WIS | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.69 | points / drive | 3.33 |
| 1.68 | allowed / drive | 1.45 |
| 29% | three-and-outs | 18% |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
Create a free account →You get Pro free for 6 months. No card required.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →