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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸2
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 11:07 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 0.9; shots on goal were MTL 9, TBL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 7 of 9 (.778), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Dobes (28 saves, .966), 2. Alex Newhook (1 G), 3. Dominic James (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Dobes28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    MTL
    A. Newhook1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    D. James1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL14001529
TBLTBL0911208129

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(1)
    K. Guhle (3), J. Anderson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:39

2nd period

  1. TBL
    D. James(2)PPG
    C. D'Astous (1), G. Goncalves (2)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:27

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Newhook(1)
    L. Hutson (4), K. Guhle (4)
    batxG 0.06win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:07

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:14MTLMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 5:04TBLBrayden Point · Holdingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 12:33MTLKaiden Guhle · Holdingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 15:22TBLserved by Dominic James · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 19:53MTLMike Matheson · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, 3rd 11:07 — MTL 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.21G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.17B. Point · On goal · xG 0.17N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.14D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.13D. James · Goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.11B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.11O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.10O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.10D. James · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.07J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.07G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.06D. James · On goal · xG 0.06C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05D. James · On goal · xG 0.05N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL1 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
0.92 G
All situations
1 G2.7
0.72 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL17%83%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.89 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
9
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
43
Hits
30
14
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000000.03114—25:22
48L. HutsonD011+200.02100—23:27
14N. SuzukiC101+230.153304622:48
45A. CarrierD000010.21220—22:39
20J. SlafkovskýL000+110.20100—21:25
21K. GuhleD022+210.02322—20:56
53N. DobsonD000000.04420—18:37
24P. DanaultC000000.063006417:56
93I. DemidovR000000.00110—17:50
71J. EvansC000000.004005716:46
15A. NewhookC101+110.06110016:09
17J. AndersonR011+100.00300—15:33
13C. CaufieldR000+110.10500—14:29
85A. TexierL000010.00100—11:15
77K. DachC000000.0041010011:02
76Z. BolducR000000.01210—08:51
11B. GallagherR000000.00000—06:48
47J. StrubleD000000.00400—05:06
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)29281.9662.66+1.6660:00

Series

MTL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).