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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV ESPN2, The Spot·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 1-0 in overtime, Gage Goncalves scoring at 9:03. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gage Goncalves's goal at 9:03 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 5.0 to 4.0; shots on goal were TBL 33, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 4.0 goals saved above expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 4.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Jakub Dobes (32 saves, .970), 3. Gage Goncalves (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Dobes32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    G. Goncalves1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL090701215133
MTLMTL070100904030

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.63win prob +52 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:03

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 19:49TBLJake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

2nd

  • 6:14MTLAlexandre Texier · High stickingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 16:54TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Slashingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

3rd

  • 5:11MTLKaiden Guhle · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 11:27MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 11:27TBLJ.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 16:42MTLIvan Demidov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min

OT

  • 5:30TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Gage Goncalves, OT 9:03 — TBL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.34I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.21C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.20A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.18A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.18I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.15C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.15N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.14C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.13I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.12J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.11J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.08L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.08I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.07K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.07A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.05A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.03I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.03I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.00L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL0 G · 4.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
5.01 G
All situations
0 G4.0
3.71 G
Even strength
0 G2.8
1.20 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 115 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL62%38%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.82 – 4.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
33
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
38
Hits
49
13
Blocked shots
22
17
Giveaways
20
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38B. HagelL011+130.332105029:05
43D. RaddyshD000060.76100—28:11
90J. MoserD000+110.05102—25:34
71A. CirelliC000000.002005523:11
81E. CernakD000020.04310—23:10
86N. KucherovR000061.14102—22:50
27R. McDonaghD000000.00150—21:52
59J. GuentzelC000030.410021720:55
51C. D'AstousD000040.21422—18:29
21B. PointC000010.481106017:21
78E. LillebergD000+100.11300—16:26
93G. GoncalvesC101+120.75100015:26
37Y. GourdeC000020.24200013:53
17D. JamesC011+130.1210010013:36
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.08510012:44
20N. PaulL000000.134105612:25
22O. BjorkstrandR000000.08410—12:24
10C. PerryR000000.00200—09:43
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)303001.0004.01+4.0169:03

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).