Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 1-0 in overtime, Gage Goncalves scoring at 9:03. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gage Goncalves's goal at 9:03 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 5.0 to 4.0; shots on goal were TBL 33, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 4.0 goals saved above expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 4.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Jakub Dobes (32 saves, .970), 3. Gage Goncalves (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Vasilevskiy30 saves, 1.000

- ★★J. Dobes32 saves, .970

- ★★★G. Goncalves1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
1 goalOvertime
1-09:03
Penalties
1st
- 19:49
Jake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
2nd
- 6:14
Alexandre Texier · High stickingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
- 16:54
Charle-Edouard D'Astous · Slashingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
3rd
- 5:11
Kaiden Guhle · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
- 11:27
Jayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
- 11:27
J.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
- 16:42
Ivan Demidov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min
OT
- 5:30
Nikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Gage Goncalves, OT 9:03 — 48% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 5.01 G
- All situations
- 0 G4.0
- 3.71 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.8
- 1.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 115 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.82 – 4.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 38
- Hits
- 49
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 17
- Giveaways
- 20
- 6
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Series
MTL leads 4-3
4@
3OTFinal
2@
3OTFinal
2@
3OTFinal
3@
2Final
3@
2Final
1@
0OTthis game
2@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















