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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 in overtime, Lane Hutson scoring at 2:09. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lane Hutson's goal at 2:09 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.4, MTL 2.5; shots on goal were TBL 17, MTL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.5 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Lane Hutson (1 G), 2. Kirby Dach (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    L. Hutson1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    K. Dach1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL16170400217
MTLMTL171130811329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    A. Texier(1)
    Z. Bolduc (1), K. Dach (1)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:53
  2. TBL
    B. Point(1)PPG
    J. Guentzel (5), N. Kucherov (3)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:42

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:47
  2. MTL
    K. Dach(1)
    A. Xhekaj (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:43

Overtime

  1. MTL
    L. Hutson(2)
    A. Texier (1), Z. Bolduc (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:09

Penalties

TBL 14 PIM·MTL 16 PIM

1st

  • 6:06MTLJakub Dobes · Trippingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 8:12MTLKirby Dach · Trippingdrawn by Dominic James2 min
  • 12:23TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 19:11MTLMike Matheson · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 4:47MTLJakub Dobes · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 4:47TBLErik Cernak · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jakub Dobes2 min
  • 9:59MTLIvan Demidov · High stickingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 14:05TBLBrandon Hagel · Holding the stickdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 16:14TBLEmil Lilleberg · Hookingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 19:29TBLDarren Raddysh · High stickingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

3rd

  • 8:50MTLJosh Anderson · High stickingdrawn by Declan Carlile2 min
  • 16:02TBLEmil Lilleberg · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 16:02TBLZemgus Girgensons · Roughingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 16:02MTLPhillip Danault · Roughingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 16:02MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Lane Hutson, OT 2:09 — MTL 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.20A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.20K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.20K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.16J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.15C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.14P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.04L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.03J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.03I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
2.42 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL47%53%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
17
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/5
Power play
0/4
14
Penalty minutes
16
31
Hits
36
14
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD000-110.07302—26:17
90J. MoserD000040.39230—25:27
38B. HagelL101+120.11102—24:58
59J. GuentzelC011-100.171002024:17
86N. KucherovR011+110.22002—20:35
27R. McDonaghD000000.00010—20:12
21B. PointC101-210.151006718:22
81E. CernakD000+110.07032—17:54
71A. CirelliC000+110.141006117:52
37Y. GourdeC000000.003004416:08
93G. GoncalvesC000-210.13100016:04
78E. LillebergD000-210.02114—14:27
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.29422013:18
17D. JamesC000-220.28210012:20
67D. CarlileD000-200.01720—11:20
10C. PerryR000-100.14000—09:32
20N. PaulL000-110.1531010007:58
46S. SabourinR000000.02100—03:44
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)29263.8972.48-0.5262:09

Series

MTL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).