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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV ESPN2, The Spot·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexandre Texier's goal at 1:06 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.7, TBL 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 24, TBL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 38 of 40 (.950); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Alexandre Texier (1 G), 2. Dominic James (1 G), 3. Lane Hutson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Texier1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    D. James1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    L. Hutson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1611216324
TBLTBL08215017240

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(1)
    A. Newhook (1)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:00

2nd period

  1. TBL
    D. James(1)
    G. Goncalves (1), Y. Gourde (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:49
  2. MTL
    K. Dach(2)
    Z. Bolduc (3), K. Guhle (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:00
  3. TBL
    J. Guentzel(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:23

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Texier(2)
    L. Hutson (3), N. Suzuki (5)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:06

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:30TBLRyan McDonagh · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Suzuki4 min
  • 13:06MTLJake Evans · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:52TBLYanni Gourde · Holding the stickdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 17:52MTLKaiden Guhle · Holdingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

2nd

  • 1:13MTLLane Hutson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:17MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Max Crozier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Alexandre Texier, 3rd 1:06 — MTL 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · On goal · xG 0.18B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.14D. James · Goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.11G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.08D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.08D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02D. James · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.01M. Crozier · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
2.73 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL53%47%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
40
66%
Faceoffs
34%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
37
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-110.05040—27:54
48L. HutsonD011+110.02112—23:31
45A. CarrierD000-100.00040—23:27
21K. GuhleD011+120.08402—21:41
14N. SuzukiC011-100.153007520:42
24P. DanaultC000000.002006019:40
20J. SlafkovskýL000-130.17110—19:27
17J. AndersonR000-120.10400—15:32
71J. EvansC000030.502228615:14
15A. NewhookC011020.30210014:35
85A. TexierL101+220.07110—13:40
76Z. BolducR011+200.00300—13:26
13C. CaufieldR000010.15100—13:13
77K. DachC101+210.163206011:46
93I. DemidovR000-130.48200—11:07
47J. StrubleD000+110.02400—10:23
72A. XhekajD000+110.01102—09:54
11B. GallagherR101+110.38300—06:48
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)40382.9502.46+0.4660:00

Series

MTL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).