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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Final/OTTV ESPN2, The Spot·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2 in overtime, J.J. Moser scoring at 12:48. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.J. Moser's goal at 12:48 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 27, TBL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.J. Moser (1 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (25 saves, .926), 3. Jakub Dobes (31 saves, .912).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    J. Moser1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Dobes31 saves, .912

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL112190600227
TBLTBL160111819334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(3)
    J. Guentzel (4), E. Cernak (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:40
  2. MTL
    L. Hutson(1)PPG
    N. Suzuki (3), C. Caufield (3)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:11

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(2)
    P. Danault (1), J. Evans (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:36

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(1)
    A. Cirelli (1), B. Hagel (1)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:33

Overtime

  1. TBL
    J. Moser(1)
    A. Cirelli (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:48

Penalties

MTL 25 PIM·TBL 27 PIM

1st

  • 10:11MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 10:11MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 10:11TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 14:20TBLNikita Kucherov · Interferencedrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 14:20MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 14:20TBLBrandon Hagel · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 14:20MTLAlexandre Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 14:20TBLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 14:20TBLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 14:20MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 14:20TBLJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 14:20MTLKirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 14:20TBLDarren Raddysh · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 14:20MTLMike Matheson · High stickingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 17:49TBLNick Paul · Cross checkingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 20:00TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min

2nd

  • 0:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Declan Carlile2 min
  • 5:14MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Hagel5 min
  • 5:14TBLBrandon Hagel · Fightingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský5 min
  • 8:20MTLKaiden Guhle · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 19:19TBLRyan McDonagh · Roughingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

3rd

  • 6:30MTLIvan Demidov · Trippingdrawn by Dominic James2 min
  • 17:45TBLScott Sabourin · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: J.J. Moser, OT 12:48 — TBL 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.13D. James · On goal · xG 0.12A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.11D. James · Missed · xG 0.10N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.10D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06B. Point · Missed · xG 0.06D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.05R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moser · Goal · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
2.82 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL57%43%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
27
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
0/3
25
Penalty minutes
27
43
Hits
34
25
Blocked shots
15
21
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD101-160.37020—32:00
8M. MathesonD000020.14032—28:47
45A. CarrierD000-100.00342—27:18
21K. GuhleD000-230.11332—26:24
20J. SlafkovskýL000-220.40205—25:33
14N. SuzukiC011-220.422104225:08
13C. CaufieldR011-210.19300—24:50
93I. DemidovR000000.00212—20:39
15A. NewhookC000-100.002103618:57
24P. DanaultC011+100.163206718:38
17J. AndersonR101+140.47512—17:21
71J. EvansC011+120.132325416:39
85A. TexierL000-120.05400—16:37
47J. StrubleD000000.00110—15:05
76Z. BolducR000020.21300—12:02
77K. DachC000-100.00302010:53
91O. KapanenC000010.111206010:04
72A. XhekajD000000.03416—09:05
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(L)34313.9122.41-0.5972:48

Series

MTL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).