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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 in overtime, Juraj Slafkovský scoring at 1:22. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Juraj Slafkovský's goal at 1:22 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 19, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.0 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juraj Slafkovský (3 G), 2. Brandon Hagel (2 G), 3. Nick Suzuki (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský3 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL14151812419
TBLTBL09271700323

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(1)
    A. Carrier (1), M. Matheson (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:24

2nd period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(1)PPG
    N. Kucherov (1), J. Guentzel (1)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:15
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(1)
    J. Guentzel (2), R. McDonagh (1)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:44
  3. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(1)PPG
    I. Demidov (1), C. Caufield (1)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:36

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(2)PPG
    C. Caufield (2), N. Suzuki (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:56
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(2)PPG
    J. Guentzel (3), N. Kucherov (2)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:58

Overtime

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(3)PPG
    L. Hutson (1), N. Suzuki (2)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +52 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:22

Penalties

MTL 14 PIM·TBL 14 PIM

1st

  • 10:37TBLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:37MTLAlex Newhook · Trippingdrawn by Conor Geekie2 min
  • 17:37MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Interferencedrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 19:47TBLBrandon Hagel · Interferencedrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 19:47MTLKaiden Guhle · High sticking double minordrawn by Brayden Point4 min

2nd

  • 0:39TBLNikita Kucherov · High stickingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 8:10TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 8:10MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 10:55MTLJosh Anderson · Chargingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min
  • 18:32TBLConor Geekie · High stickingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min

3rd

  • 4:20TBLAnthony Cirelli · Interferencedrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 7:28MTLZachary Bolduc · Slashingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 19:39TBLJake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Juraj Slafkovský, OT 1:22 — MTL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.25J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.19J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.17B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.11D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.09D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.09B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.04C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02D. James · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
2.64 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.01 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
1.53 G
Power play
2 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL59%41%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
19
Shots on goal
23
61%
Faceoffs
39%
3/5
Power play
2/5
14
Penalty minutes
14
42
Hits
44
17
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD011-120.37010—29:00
14N. SuzukiC022-100.001107122:58
8M. MathesonD011+100.00460—22:56
21K. GuhleD000-100.00314—21:21
13C. CaufieldR022-120.38210—21:11
20J. SlafkovskýL303-171.05202—21:11
45A. CarrierD011+100.00320—18:36
93I. DemidovR011020.14210—16:34
15A. NewhookC000010.164022916:23
71J. EvansC000+100.001106015:16
17J. AndersonR101+110.09414—14:47
24P. DanaultC000+110.081105613:19
47J. StrubleD000000.00200—12:33
72A. XhekajD000010.08510—10:59
77K. DachC000000.002005010:58
85A. TexierL000010.1340010010:32
76Z. BolducR000000.03202—09:10
91O. KapanenC000010.040006708:25
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)23203.8702.01-0.9961:13

Series

MTL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).