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Blues at Jets
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, FDSNMW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 5-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan DeMelo's goal at 11:05 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 19, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 2 A), 2. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan DeMelo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    V. Namestnikov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. DeMelo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1613110319
WPGWPG2821414526

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(4)
    M. Scheifele (4), M. Appleton (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:23
  2. STL
    N. Walker(1)
    C. Parayko (3), C. Fowler (8)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:42
  3. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(1)
    D. Samberg (2), N. Pionk (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:39

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Snuggerud(2)
    R. Thomas (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:06
  2. WPG
    D. DeMelo(1)
    K. Connor (3), V. Namestnikov (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:05
  3. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(1)
    K. Connor (4), M. Appleton (4)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:51

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(2)EN
    N. Niederreiter (1), M. Appleton (5)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:47
  2. STL
    N. Walker(2)
    R. Faksa (2), A. Toropchenko (1)
    snapxG 0.20Video
    3-5
    19:07

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:12STLBrayden Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 6:12WPGBrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 6:12STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 7:20WPGGabriel Vilardi · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 7:20STLOskar Sundqvist · Embellishment2 min
  • 10:01WPGLuke Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 10:01STLColton Parayko · Roughingdrawn by Luke Schenn2 min
  • 10:01WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min

2nd

  • 1:43STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan DeMelo, 2nd 11:05 — WPG 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.92V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.18C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.17A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.17V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.16C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.14V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson-Dolan · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
2.33 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL46%54%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
19
Shots on goal
26
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
8
40
Hits
44
18
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17C. FowlerD011-110.02100—22:10
55C. ParaykoD011020.15142—21:14
72J. FaulkD000030.08322—20:38
6P. BrobergD000+100.02010—19:08
63J. NeighboursL000-300.18310—18:50
18R. ThomasC011-100.002004718:16
22R. SuterD000-100.05010—17:52
89P. BuchnevichL000010.01310—17:39
25J. KyrouR000-310.09010—16:57
10B. SchennC000-230.322246916:00
4N. LeddyD000-200.03100—15:29
21J. SnuggerudR101020.10200—14:38
13A. ToropchenkoR011+220.47310—14:05
70O. SundqvistC000-110.132125013:52
9A. TexierL000-200.06300—13:34
12R. FaksaC011+210.134107013:08
26N. WalkerL202+220.337205012:37
76Z. BolducR000-200.08300—11:39
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)25214.8402.40-1.6058:14

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).