Skip to content
Blues at Jets
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Final/2OTTV TBS, MAX·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in double overtime, Adam Lowry scoring at 16:10. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Perfetti's goal at 19:57 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 3% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were STL 29, WPG 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 43 of 47 (.915), 1.4 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry (1 G), 2. Cole Perfetti (2 G), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Perfetti2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
STLSTL2719040405329
WPGWPG0311021501118447

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(3)
    C. Parayko (5), P. Buchnevich (5)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:10
  2. STL
    M. Joseph(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:16

2nd period

  1. WPG
    C. Perfetti(2)PPG
    K. Connor (6), N. Pionk (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:41
  2. STL
    R. Faksa(1)
    N. Walker (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:25

3rd period

  1. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(2)
    N. Pionk (3), D. Samberg (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:04
  2. WPG
    C. Perfetti(3)
    K. Connor (7), N. Ehlers (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:57

2OT overtime

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(3)
    N. Pionk (4), K. Connor (8)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +48 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:10

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

2nd

  • 11:34STLOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 19:30WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

OT

  • 6:20STLBrayden Schenn · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Perfetti, 3rd 19:57 — WPG 3% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.14C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.12C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.00V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.6 xG · 72 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
3.73 G
All situations
4 G2.6
2.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 132 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL53%47%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
29
Shots on goal
47
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
49
Hits
73
29
Blocked shots
24
33
Giveaways
22
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011+120.20330—42:23
17C. FowlerD000+210.12020—40:35
72J. FaulkD000-210.01350—36:54
6P. BrobergD000020.11340—35:47
89P. BuchnevichL011-140.85000—32:43
18R. ThomasC000010.731105432:01
10B. SchennC000-310.060327528:11
25J. KyrouR101+150.57100—26:31
63J. NeighboursL000010.07210—26:04
26N. WalkerL011+130.31900—23:04
12R. FaksaC101+110.063105622:51
13A. ToropchenkoR000+100.01510—20:58
70O. SundqvistC000-110.015024020:57
21J. SnuggerudR000-110.11600—20:53
71M. JosephR101+130.30350—18:06
4N. LeddyD000000.07210—18:00
22R. SuterD000-110.05220—17:34
76Z. BolducR000+110.09100—15:11
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)47434.9152.59-1.4196:10

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).