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Blues at Jets
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 18:24 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.3 to 1.1; shots on goal were STL 17, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.1 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jordan Kyrou (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL291602317
WPGWPG2701039526

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(1)PPG
    C. Fowler (1), P. Buchnevich (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:31
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(1)PPG
    K. Connor (1), J. Morrissey (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:38
  3. WPG
    J. Anderson-Dolan(1)
    M. Barron (1), L. Schenn (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:02
  4. STL
    O. Sundqvist(1)
    Z. Bolduc (1), J. Faulk (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:10

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(1)PPG
    J. Faulk (2), J. Neighbours (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:13

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Iafallo(1)
    M. Scheifele (1), K. Connor (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:18
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(1)
    M. Scheifele (2), J. Morrissey (2)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:24
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(1)EN
    M. Appleton (1)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:07

Penalties

STL 58 PIM·WPG 56 PIM

1st

  • 8:52WPGLuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 13:22STLJake Neighbours · Slashingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 19:42WPGNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

2nd

  • 2:04STLColton Parayko · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 19:44STLNick Leddy · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

3rd

  • 2:43WPGDylan Samberg · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 4:05STLZachary Bolduc · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 19:41WPGAlex Iafallo · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:41STLBrayden Schenn · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:41STLJake Neighbours · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:41WPGNeal Pionk · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:41STLPavel Buchnevich · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:41WPGMark Scheifele · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:57STLMathieu Joseph · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:57STLNathan Walker · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:57WPGLogan Stanley · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:57WPGLuke Schenn · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3rd 18:24 — WPG 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.93K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.44D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson-Dolan · Goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson-Dolan · Missed · xG 0.03M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
1.13 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.12 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL31%69%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.05 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
17
Shots on goal
26
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/3
Power play
1/4
58
Penalty minutes
56
53
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17C. FowlerD011-310.02010—21:23
6P. BrobergD000+100.01010—21:12
55C. ParaykoD000-210.01132—20:44
72J. FaulkD022+120.03420—20:42
18R. ThomasC101-220.422007319:52
89P. BuchnevichL011-200.000110—19:41
22R. SuterD000-100.01020—17:52
21J. SnuggerudR000-110.05010—16:31
63J. NeighboursL011-220.077012—16:02
10B. SchennC000-200.0090104515:18
25J. KyrouR101-240.30100—15:05
12R. FaksaC000000.014106914:15
4N. LeddyD000-100.00202—14:13
26N. WalkerL000000.0072106713:07
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.01610—12:43
76Z. BolducR011010.01302—12:42
70O. SundqvistC101010.103003312:01
71M. JosephR000010.014110—11:17
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)25214.8401.92-2.0859:04

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).